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Updated 2 min. ago

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Economy
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14 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 14¢No 86¢

How high will inflation get in 2026?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$229K

24h vol.

$2.2K

1w vol.

$5.8K

1m vol.

$25.3K

Liquidity

$17.6K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 15¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

May 12, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$2,072
12¢$1,476
11¢$1,747
10¢$6,110
9¢$5,000
8¢$200
7¢$286
6¢$1,773
5¢$8,000
4¢$7,112
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$2,986
16¢$2,760
17¢$130
35¢$5
57¢$464
58¢$2,064
59¢$62
61¢$256
62¢$500
64¢$490

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 77%Sells 23%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
25 min. agoBuy15¢500
25 min. agoBuy85¢500
34 min. agoBuy15¢369
34 min. agoBuy85¢369
35 min. agoBuy14¢50
35 min. agoSell14¢50
57 min. agoBuy87¢50
57 min. agoSell87¢50
57 min. agoBuy86¢507
57 min. agoBuy14¢50
57 min. agoBuy14¢50
57 min. agoSell86¢407
10 hr. agoSell13¢98
10 hr. agoSell87¢98
10 hr. agoSell14¢50
10 hr. agoBuy14¢2
10 hr. agoBuy14¢48
10 hr. agoBuy86¢50
10 hr. agoBuy14¢50
10 hr. agoBuy85¢494
10 hr. agoBuy15¢50
10 hr. agoBuy15¢50
10 hr. agoBuy15¢394
17 hr. agoBuy15¢6
17 hr. agoSell15¢6
1 day agoBuy15¢7
1 day agoBuy85¢7
1 day agoSell14¢123
1 day agoBuy14¢123
1 day agoSell85¢5
1 day agoBuy85¢5
2 days agoSell85¢50
2 days agoBuy85¢50
3 days agoSell84¢185
3 days agoBuy84¢185
3 days agoSell84¢5
3 days agoBuy84¢5
3 days agoSell14¢95
3 days agoBuy14¢95
3 days agoSell15¢5
3 days agoBuy15¢5
5 days agoBuy81¢30
5 days agoBuy19¢20
5 days agoBuy19¢10
5 days agoBuy20¢1
5 days agoSell20¢1
5 days agoSell80¢1
5 days agoSell20¢1
5 days agoBuy85¢1
5 days agoBuy15¢1

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