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Updated 5 days ago

24 %
chance
Total volume
$131.7K
24h vol.
$1.2K
1w vol.
$4.5K
1m vol.
$33.5K
Liquidity
$9.5K
Bid / Ask
23¢ / 24¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
24¢
Start date
May 12, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 417 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 130 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 87 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 417 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 417 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 434 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 404 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 96 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 46 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 2,872 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 99 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.