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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
3 %
chance
How high will inflation get in 2026?
5 outcomes- Above 4.5%14 %
- Above 5%9 %
- Above 6%4 %
- Above 8%3 %
- Above 10%3 %
Total volume
$60.2K
24h vol.
$44.09
1w vol.
$45.11
1m vol.
$1.3K
Liquidity
$13.8K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 423 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 423 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 700 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 500 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 28 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 22 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 36 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 36 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 31 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 31 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 67 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 53 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 493 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 393 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 72 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 83 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 83 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.