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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
4 %
chance
How high will inflation get in 2026?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$69.8K
24h vol.
$15.2
1w vol.
$17.266
1m vol.
$1.7K
Liquidity
$5.9K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 225 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 225 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 690 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 75 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 292 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 277 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 292 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 54 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 88 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 76 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.