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Updated 11 min. ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Economy
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3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Fed Decision in December?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$554.2K

24h vol.

$4.7K

1w vol.

$134.7K

1m vol.

$385.7K

Liquidity

$129.8K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jul 30, 2026

End date

Dec 9, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$2,908
3¢$531
3¢$77
2¢$512
2¢$1,600
2¢$2,062
2¢$799
2¢$474
2¢$2,000
2¢$3,425
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$1,235
3¢$27
3¢$3,415
3¢$20
4¢$625
4¢$1,132
5¢$1,500
5¢$50
5¢$450
5¢$1,500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoBuy3¢531
37 min. agoSell3¢531
6 hr. agoBuy3¢9
6 hr. agoSell3¢9
11 hr. agoSell97¢2
11 hr. agoSell3¢2
21 hr. agoBuy3¢179
21 hr. agoSell3¢179
22 hr. agoBuy97¢2
22 hr. agoBuy3¢2
22 hr. agoSell3¢1,497
22 hr. agoBuy3¢545
22 hr. agoSell97¢787
22 hr. agoBuy3¢164
22 hr. agoBuy3¢82
22 hr. agoSell3¢31
22 hr. agoSell3¢51
22 hr. agoBuy3¢105
22 hr. agoSell3¢105
22 hr. agoBuy3¢45
22 hr. agoSell3¢45
23 hr. agoSell3¢1,300
23 hr. agoBuy3¢261
23 hr. agoBuy3¢260
23 hr. agoBuy3¢265
23 hr. agoBuy3¢271
23 hr. agoBuy3¢243
23 hr. agoSell3¢917
23 hr. agoBuy3¢15
23 hr. agoBuy3¢256
23 hr. agoBuy3¢646
1 day agoSell97¢4
1 day agoBuy97¢4
1 day agoBuy97¢2
1 day agoBuy3¢2
1 day agoBuy97¢2,000
1 day agoBuy3¢2,000
1 day agoBuy97¢1,000
1 day agoBuy3¢2
1 day agoBuy3¢998
1 day agoBuy97¢2
1 day agoBuy3¢2
1 day agoBuy97¢2,000
1 day agoBuy3¢2,000
1 day agoBuy3¢90
1 day agoBuy97¢90
2 days agoSell3¢1,898
2 days agoBuy3¢574
2 days agoBuy3¢249
2 days agoBuy3¢272

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