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Updated 28 min. ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Tech
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18 %

chance

▼ −10.0%24h▲ +3.5%1W
Yes 18¢No 82¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$288.6K

24h vol.

$30.5K

1w vol.

$78.6K

1m vol.

$104.5K

Liquidity

$15.1K

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 19¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

May 13, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$536
16¢$267
15¢$1,005
14¢$922
13¢$2,222
12¢$75
11¢$1,609
10¢$5,835
9¢$2,499
8¢$6,151
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$726
20¢$176
21¢$291
22¢$522
23¢$1,470
24¢$709
25¢$2,219
26¢$7
27¢$10
28¢$71

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoBuy82¢5
2 hr. agoSell82¢5
2 hr. agoBuy17¢514
2 hr. agoBuy82¢17
2 hr. agoBuy82¢100
2 hr. agoSell18¢39
2 hr. agoBuy83¢71
2 hr. agoSell17¢177
2 hr. agoBuy83¢10
2 hr. agoSell17¢100
2 hr. agoBuy17¢99
2 hr. agoSell17¢99
2 hr. agoSell16¢7
2 hr. agoBuy16¢7
2 hr. agoBuy19¢99
2 hr. agoBuy81¢89
2 hr. agoBuy82¢10
2 hr. agoBuy19¢51
2 hr. agoBuy81¢11
2 hr. agoSell19¢30
2 hr. agoBuy82¢10
2 hr. agoBuy18¢20
2 hr. agoBuy82¢20
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell83¢5
2 hr. agoSell18¢400
2 hr. agoBuy18¢85
2 hr. agoBuy18¢276
2 hr. agoBuy18¢39
2 hr. agoBuy20¢100
2 hr. agoSell20¢100
2 hr. agoBuy20¢76
2 hr. agoSell20¢76
2 hr. agoBuy20¢51
2 hr. agoSell20¢51
2 hr. agoSell20¢25
2 hr. agoBuy20¢25
2 hr. agoSell20¢200
2 hr. agoBuy20¢200
2 hr. agoBuy21¢23
2 hr. agoSell21¢23
3 hr. agoBuy79¢100
3 hr. agoBuy21¢100
3 hr. agoSell21¢250
3 hr. agoBuy21¢95
3 hr. agoBuy21¢100
3 hr. agoBuy21¢55
3 hr. agoSell21¢2,500
3 hr. agoBuy21¢2,500
3 hr. agoSell77¢1

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