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Updated 42 min. ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Tech
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51 %

chance

▼ −4.0%1h▼ −8.5%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 51¢No 50¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$50.1K

24h vol.

$8.5K

1w vol.

$20.9K

1m vol.

$31.5K

Liquidity

$8.8K

Bid / Ask

50¢ / 51¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

48¢

Start date

Aug 14, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
50¢$100
49¢$302
48¢$166
47¢$73
46¢$326
45¢$711
44¢$2,893
43¢$115
39¢$6
38¢$484
Asks (sell)Size
51¢$105
52¢$202
53¢$139
54¢$55
55¢$328
56¢$1,241
57¢$628
58¢$936
59¢$3,780
60¢$4,480

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
58 min. agoSell48¢100
58 min. agoBuy48¢95
58 min. agoBuy49¢5
1 hr. agoBuy49¢100
1 hr. agoBuy51¢100
1 hr. agoSell53¢1,002
1 hr. agoBuy52¢3
1 hr. agoBuy52¢50
1 hr. agoSell48¢50
1 hr. agoSell48¢76
1 hr. agoBuy52¢39
1 hr. agoBuy53¢137
1 hr. agoBuy53¢100
1 hr. agoBuy53¢135
1 hr. agoSell47¢363
1 hr. agoSell46¢50
1 hr. agoBuy47¢100
1 hr. agoBuy53¢100
4 hr. agoBuy55¢32
4 hr. agoBuy45¢32
4 hr. agoBuy55¢632
4 hr. agoBuy44¢32
4 hr. agoSell56¢100
4 hr. agoBuy44¢100
4 hr. agoBuy44¢10
4 hr. agoBuy45¢363
4 hr. agoSell54¢27
4 hr. agoBuy52¢100
4 hr. agoBuy48¢100
4 hr. agoBuy51¢105
4 hr. agoBuy49¢100
4 hr. agoSell51¢5
4 hr. agoBuy50¢165
4 hr. agoSell50¢65
4 hr. agoBuy50¢100
5 hr. agoBuy49¢166
5 hr. agoSell49¢69
5 hr. agoSell49¢96
6 hr. agoSell50¢5
6 hr. agoBuy50¢5
6 hr. agoSell49¢100
6 hr. agoSell51¢100
6 hr. agoSell50¢30
6 hr. agoSell50¢30
6 hr. agoBuy49¢350
6 hr. agoBuy51¢100
6 hr. agoBuy51¢100
6 hr. agoSell49¢150
6 hr. agoBuy48¢767
6 hr. agoBuy52¢153

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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