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Updated 2 days ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Tech
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34 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▲ +10.5%1W
Yes 34¢No 66¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$23.3K

24h vol.

$1.6K

1w vol.

$11.9K

1m vol.

$20.8K

Liquidity

$5.8K

Bid / Ask

33¢ / 35¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

Aug 14, 2026

End date

Mar 1, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
36¢$50
35¢$350
34¢$85
33¢$100
32¢$50
31¢$50
30¢$5
29¢$368
28¢$1,119
24¢$29
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$100
39¢$492
40¢$785
41¢$50
50¢$18
51¢$22
56¢$1,410
57¢$500
58¢$620
71¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoBuy34¢152
3 days agoSell34¢52
3 days agoSell34¢100
3 days agoSell65¢10
3 days agoBuy65¢10
3 days agoBuy36¢50
3 days agoBuy64¢30
3 days agoBuy65¢10
3 days agoBuy65¢10
3 days agoSell36¢48
3 days agoBuy36¢48
3 days agoBuy64¢3
3 days agoBuy36¢3
3 days agoSell36¢10
3 days agoBuy36¢10
3 days agoSell36¢48
3 days agoBuy36¢48
3 days agoBuy34¢150
3 days agoSell34¢50
3 days agoSell34¢100
3 days agoBuy32¢268
3 days agoSell32¢60
3 days agoSell32¢208
3 days agoBuy32¢12
3 days agoSell32¢7
3 days agoSell32¢5
3 days agoBuy32¢13
3 days agoSell32¢13
3 days agoBuy32¢13
3 days agoSell32¢13
3 days agoBuy32¢13
3 days agoSell32¢13
3 days agoBuy32¢14
3 days agoSell32¢14
3 days agoBuy32¢14
3 days agoSell32¢14
3 days agoBuy32¢15
3 days agoSell32¢15
3 days agoBuy32¢17
3 days agoSell32¢17
3 days agoBuy32¢17
3 days agoSell32¢17
3 days agoBuy32¢18
3 days agoSell32¢18
3 days agoBuy32¢18
3 days agoSell32¢18
3 days agoBuy32¢69
3 days agoSell32¢69
3 days agoBuy32¢54
3 days agoSell32¢54

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