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Updated 11 min. ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tech
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65 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 65¢No 36¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$47.6K

24h vol.

$4.5K

1w vol.

$8.8K

1m vol.

$20.3K

Liquidity

$9.9K

Bid / Ask

64¢ / 65¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

65¢

Start date

Aug 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
64¢$993
63¢$2,118
62¢$815
61¢$224
60¢$106
59¢$367
58¢$133
56¢$16
55¢$700
45¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
65¢$619
66¢$2,243
67¢$2,745
68¢$1,168
69¢$1,935
70¢$100
80¢$35
82¢$5
89¢$1,461
91¢$119

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoBuy65¢370
2 hr. agoBuy35¢294
2 hr. agoBuy36¢76
3 hr. agoBuy37¢111
3 hr. agoBuy63¢111
6 hr. agoBuy64¢90
6 hr. agoBuy36¢40
6 hr. agoSell64¢50
8 hr. agoBuy37¢200
8 hr. agoBuy63¢200
10 hr. agoBuy39¢26
10 hr. agoBuy61¢10
10 hr. agoSell39¢16
10 hr. agoBuy62¢16
10 hr. agoSell63¢6
10 hr. agoSell62¢10
18 hr. agoBuy61¢38
18 hr. agoBuy39¢38
18 hr. agoBuy61¢118
18 hr. agoSell62¢40
18 hr. agoBuy38¢8
18 hr. agoSell62¢20
18 hr. agoSell61¢20
18 hr. agoBuy40¢20
18 hr. agoBuy40¢10
18 hr. agoBuy62¢37
18 hr. agoSell62¢7
18 hr. agoSell62¢30
18 hr. agoBuy62¢37
18 hr. agoSell62¢19
18 hr. agoSell62¢18
18 hr. agoBuy59¢22
18 hr. agoSell59¢22
18 hr. agoSell59¢30
18 hr. agoBuy59¢30
18 hr. agoBuy63¢12
18 hr. agoSell63¢12
18 hr. agoSell59¢134
18 hr. agoSell42¢32
18 hr. agoSell42¢40
18 hr. agoBuy59¢52
18 hr. agoSell40¢10
18 hr. agoBuy38¢2,257
18 hr. agoBuy62¢41
18 hr. agoBuy62¢134
18 hr. agoBuy62¢25
18 hr. agoBuy62¢40
18 hr. agoBuy62¢150
18 hr. agoBuy62¢200
18 hr. agoBuy62¢910

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