Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 27 min. ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

64 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −2.0%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 64¢No 37¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$47.3K

24h vol.

$4.1K

1w vol.

$8.4K

1m vol.

$19.9K

Liquidity

$10.9K

Bid / Ask

63¢ / 64¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

64¢

Start date

Aug 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
63¢$389
62¢$610
61¢$266
60¢$113
59¢$212
58¢$338
56¢$401
55¢$700
51¢$18
45¢$776
Asks (sell)Size
64¢$176
65¢$1,704
66¢$2,093
67¢$1,241
68¢$819
69¢$2,375
79¢$33
80¢$35
82¢$5
83¢$1,190

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
56 min. agoBuy37¢111
56 min. agoBuy63¢111
4 hr. agoBuy64¢90
4 hr. agoBuy36¢40
4 hr. agoSell64¢50
6 hr. agoBuy37¢200
6 hr. agoBuy63¢200
8 hr. agoBuy39¢26
8 hr. agoBuy61¢10
8 hr. agoSell39¢16
8 hr. agoBuy62¢16
8 hr. agoSell63¢6
8 hr. agoSell62¢10
16 hr. agoBuy61¢38
16 hr. agoBuy39¢38
16 hr. agoBuy61¢118
16 hr. agoSell62¢40
16 hr. agoBuy38¢8
16 hr. agoSell62¢20
16 hr. agoSell61¢20
16 hr. agoBuy40¢20
16 hr. agoBuy40¢10
16 hr. agoBuy62¢37
16 hr. agoSell62¢7
16 hr. agoSell62¢30
16 hr. agoBuy62¢37
16 hr. agoSell62¢19
16 hr. agoSell62¢18
16 hr. agoBuy59¢22
16 hr. agoSell59¢22
16 hr. agoSell59¢30
16 hr. agoBuy59¢30
16 hr. agoBuy63¢12
16 hr. agoSell63¢12
16 hr. agoSell59¢134
16 hr. agoSell42¢32
16 hr. agoSell42¢40
16 hr. agoBuy59¢52
16 hr. agoSell40¢10
16 hr. agoBuy38¢2,257
16 hr. agoBuy62¢41
16 hr. agoBuy62¢134
16 hr. agoBuy62¢25
16 hr. agoBuy62¢40
16 hr. agoBuy62¢150
16 hr. agoBuy62¢200
16 hr. agoBuy62¢910
16 hr. agoBuy63¢5
16 hr. agoBuy63¢12
16 hr. agoBuy63¢741

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.