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Updated 6 hr. ago

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

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33 %

chance

▼ −6.5%24h▲ +17.0%1W
Yes 33¢No 68¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$25.4K

24h vol.

$7.8K

1w vol.

$16K

1m vol.

$23.3K

Liquidity

$7.4K

Bid / Ask

32¢ / 33¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

34¢

Start date

Aug 14, 2026

End date

Feb 1, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
32¢$153
31¢$540
30¢$331
27¢$150
26¢$32
25¢$28
24¢$190
23¢$170
22¢$500
21¢$3
Asks (sell)Size
33¢$193
34¢$686
35¢$878
36¢$119
38¢$269
39¢$921
40¢$762
43¢$106
44¢$16
46¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
7 hr. agoBuy67¢112
7 hr. agoSell67¢13
7 hr. agoBuy33¢50
7 hr. agoSell67¢49
8 hr. agoBuy34¢3
8 hr. agoBuy66¢3
16 hr. agoBuy67¢41
16 hr. agoSell67¢11
16 hr. agoSell67¢16
16 hr. agoSell67¢13
16 hr. agoBuy67¢26
16 hr. agoSell67¢26
16 hr. agoBuy67¢10
16 hr. agoSell67¢10
16 hr. agoSell66¢50
16 hr. agoSell34¢50
16 hr. agoBuy65¢466
16 hr. agoSell65¢16
16 hr. agoSell65¢450
16 hr. agoBuy63¢326
16 hr. agoBuy37¢50
16 hr. agoSell63¢55
16 hr. agoSell63¢50
16 hr. agoSell63¢171
16 hr. agoBuy62¢800
16 hr. agoBuy38¢85
16 hr. agoSell62¢353
16 hr. agoSell62¢50
16 hr. agoBuy38¢50
16 hr. agoSell62¢50
16 hr. agoBuy38¢212
16 hr. agoBuy62¢85
16 hr. agoSell63¢35
16 hr. agoSell62¢50
21 hr. agoSell61¢100
21 hr. agoBuy61¢50
21 hr. agoBuy61¢50
1 day agoSell39¢65
1 day agoSell61¢15
1 day agoSell61¢50
1 day agoSell61¢210
1 day agoBuy61¢10
1 day agoBuy61¢50
1 day agoBuy61¢50
1 day agoBuy61¢100
1 day agoBuy61¢54
1 day agoSell61¢54
1 day agoBuy62¢126
1 day agoSell62¢50
1 day agoSell62¢77

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