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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

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6 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 6¢No 95¢

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28 outcomes

Total volume

$4K

24h vol.

$44.24

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$1.3K

Liquidity

$44.2K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

May 26, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$360
4¢$380
3¢$1,392
2¢$6,475
1¢$46
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$11
8¢$72
9¢$900
10¢$5,562
14¢$605
15¢$1,111
16¢$150
17¢$1,688
50¢$100
61¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy93¢227
1 mo. agoBuy7¢72
1 mo. agoBuy7¢89
1 mo. agoBuy7¢66
1 mo. agoBuy92¢285
1 mo. agoBuy8¢285
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy92¢14
1 mo. agoBuy92¢6
1 mo. agoSell7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢2
1 mo. agoBuy7¢2
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢27
1 mo. agoBuy92¢27
1 mo. agoSell7¢12
1 mo. agoBuy7¢12
1 mo. agoSell6¢11
1 mo. agoBuy6¢11
1 mo. agoBuy7¢23
1 mo. agoBuy93¢23
2 mo. agoBuy7¢7
2 mo. agoBuy93¢7
2 mo. agoSell6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1,038
2 mo. agoBuy92¢455
2 mo. agoSell8¢28
2 mo. agoBuy93¢555
2 mo. agoBuy93¢260
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy92¢428

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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