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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

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12 %

chance

▼ −3.5%24h▲ +2.5%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28 outcomes

Total volume

$25.2K

24h vol.

$1.4K

1w vol.

$1.9K

1m vol.

$11.8K

Liquidity

$26.6K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 13¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

May 26, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$87
14¢$361
13¢$335
12¢$346
11¢$5,000
3¢$749
2¢$1,250
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$149
18¢$510
19¢$65
20¢$510
21¢$2,161
22¢$93
50¢$100
59¢$492
62¢$721
63¢$450

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell84¢6
1 mo. agoBuy84¢6
1 mo. agoBuy17¢11
1 mo. agoBuy83¢11
1 mo. agoBuy17¢8
1 mo. agoBuy83¢8
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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