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Updated 14 min. ago

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 21 buys, 29 sells; the largest was $821 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 15% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (252 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 8, 2027).
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Highest grossing movie in 2026?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$1.2M
24h vol.
$8.8K
1w vol.
$102.8K
1m vol.
$160.5K
Liquidity
$72.5K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 7¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Jan 8, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 252 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 15.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points more often than their average price of 9.5% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 159 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 7 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 55 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 68 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 12 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 14 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 2 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 65 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 280 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 3 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 547 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 65 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 48 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 107 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 900 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 69 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 20 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 4 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 18 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 12 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 17 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 26 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 411 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 12 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 18 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 12 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 6 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 3 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 30 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 460 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 105 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 135 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 799 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 7 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 4 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 265 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 278 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 114 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 458 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 405 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 6 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 35 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 6 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 2 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 300 |
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