Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Market brief

• Down 3.0 pp over the past week (+1.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 33% on Sep 19, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 30 buys, 20 sells; the largest was $582 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 9% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (276 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 276 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 9.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House6 %▲ +0.0%
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?95 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?37 %▲ +5.0%
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0 %▲ +0.1%
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?26 %▼ −2.0%
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?24 %▼ −6.0%

Keep exploring