Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 15 outcomes · $2.2M traded · updated 12 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
China leads at 81 % · biggest 24h move: China −2.0 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1China81 %▼ −2.0%$384.3K
- 2No meeting by December 3114 %▼ −1.5%$559.7K
- 3United States1 %▲ +0.2%$136.6K
- 4Russia0 %—$160.3K
- 5Gulf country0 %▼ −0.1%$109.2K
- 6Turkey0 %▲ +0.1%$111.7K
- 7Switzerland0 %—$99.9K
- 8Other0 %▼ −0.5%$102.6K
- 9South Korea0 %—$64.9K
- 10Japan0 %—$59.6K
- 11Belarus0 %▼ −0.1%$84.9K
- 12Finland0 %▼ −0.1%$79K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026??
- China is the current favourite at 81 %, ahead of 14 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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