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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Politics
Watch this market

81 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −4.0%24h▲ +1.5%1W
Yes 81¢No 19¢

Market brief

  • Down 4.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 52% on Sep 14, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 45 buys, 5 sells; the largest was $248 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,145 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

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Total volume

$384.9K

24h vol.

$6.8K

1w vol.

$44.4K

1m vol.

$140.5K

Liquidity

$27.2K

Bid / Ask

80¢ / 81¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

80¢

Start date

May 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,145 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.3% resolved YES. That is 4.8 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
61¢$152
60¢$221
59¢$417
58¢$1,540
57¢$1,971
56¢$300
55¢$83
52¢$50
51¢$1,230
50¢$1,430
Asks (sell)Size
62¢$364
63¢$868
64¢$787
65¢$984
66¢$1,131
67¢$2,310
68¢$1,940
69¢$1,024
70¢$1,594
72¢$1,306

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy62¢24
2 mo. agoBuy38¢24
2 mo. agoSell38¢27
2 mo. agoBuy38¢27
2 mo. agoBuy62¢100
2 mo. agoBuy38¢100
2 mo. agoBuy62¢100
2 mo. agoBuy38¢100
2 mo. agoBuy38¢184
2 mo. agoSell38¢20
2 mo. agoSell38¢100
2 mo. agoBuy62¢64
2 mo. agoBuy38¢16
2 mo. agoBuy62¢16
2 mo. agoBuy38¢94
2 mo. agoBuy62¢94
2 mo. agoBuy38¢14
2 mo. agoBuy62¢14
2 mo. agoBuy38¢10
2 mo. agoBuy62¢10
2 mo. agoBuy38¢84
2 mo. agoBuy62¢84
2 mo. agoBuy38¢46
2 mo. agoBuy62¢46
2 mo. agoBuy38¢30
2 mo. agoBuy62¢6
2 mo. agoSell38¢8
2 mo. agoBuy62¢16
2 mo. agoBuy63¢250
2 mo. agoBuy37¢117
2 mo. agoBuy37¢48
2 mo. agoBuy37¢30
2 mo. agoBuy37¢20
2 mo. agoBuy37¢25
2 mo. agoBuy37¢10
2 mo. agoSell61¢0
2 mo. agoBuy61¢0
2 mo. agoBuy62¢400
2 mo. agoBuy38¢10
2 mo. agoBuy38¢10
2 mo. agoBuy38¢50
2 mo. agoBuy38¢60
2 mo. agoBuy38¢270
2 mo. agoBuy62¢100
2 mo. agoBuy38¢52
2 mo. agoBuy38¢8
2 mo. agoBuy38¢10
2 mo. agoBuy38¢30
2 mo. agoBuy61¢20
2 mo. agoBuy39¢20

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