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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
81 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 4.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 52% on Sep 14, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 45 buys, 5 sells; the largest was $248 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,145 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$384.9K
24h vol.
$6.8K
1w vol.
$44.4K
1m vol.
$140.5K
Liquidity
$27.2K
Bid / Ask
80¢ / 81¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
80¢
Start date
May 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,145 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.3% resolved YES. That is 4.8 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 184 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 64 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 94 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 94 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 46 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 46 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 250 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 117 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 48 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 400 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 270 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 20 |
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