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Updated 26 min. ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Economy
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Fed Decision in December?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$699.7K

24h vol.

$4K

1w vol.

$140.3K

1m vol.

$526.2K

Liquidity

$137.4K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 30, 2026

End date

Dec 9, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$10,020
0¢$316,965
0¢$2,833,198
0¢$2,777,429
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$5,388
1¢$32
1¢$5,010
1¢$915
1¢$191
1¢$1,000
1¢$13
1¢$1,000
1¢$2,503
3¢$50

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 74%Sells 26%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 hr. agoSell100¢2
11 hr. agoSell1¢2
22 hr. agoBuy100¢1
22 hr. agoBuy0¢1
1 day agoSell100¢4
1 day agoSell1¢4
1 day agoBuy100¢4
1 day agoBuy0¢4
1 day agoBuy100¢4,000
1 day agoBuy0¢4,000
1 day agoBuy100¢1,000
1 day agoBuy0¢1,000
1 day agoBuy100¢1,000
1 day agoBuy0¢1,000
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoBuy0¢2
2 days agoSell100¢7
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoBuy100¢7
2 days agoBuy0¢7
2 days agoSell0¢423
2 days agoBuy0¢423
2 days agoSell0¢768
2 days agoBuy0¢768
2 days agoSell0¢718
2 days agoBuy0¢718
2 days agoSell0¢549
2 days agoBuy0¢549
2 days agoSell0¢768
2 days agoBuy0¢768
2 days agoBuy100¢423
2 days agoBuy0¢423
2 days agoSell0¢474
2 days agoBuy0¢474
2 days agoBuy100¢423
2 days agoBuy0¢423
2 days agoBuy100¢1,112
2 days agoBuy0¢1,112
2 days agoBuy100¢250
2 days agoBuy0¢250
2 days agoBuy100¢40
2 days agoBuy0¢39
2 days agoBuy0¢2
2 days agoSell100¢0
2 days agoSell1¢0
2 days agoSell0¢0
2 days agoBuy0¢0
3 days agoBuy1¢10,000
3 days agoSell1¢6,939
3 days agoSell1¢10

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