Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 26 min. ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Economy
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.3%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Fed Decision in December?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$918.9K

24h vol.

$17.4K

1w vol.

$318.6K

1m vol.

$687.2K

Liquidity

$253.6K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 30, 2026

End date

Dec 9, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$310,550
1¢$510,264
0¢$825,005
0¢$1,149,505
0¢$2,666,505
0¢$161,337
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$83,996
1¢$6,000
1¢$5,566
1¢$2,222
1¢$920
1¢$5
2¢$43
2¢$680
2¢$3,054
2¢$1,300

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
10 hr. agoSell99¢31
10 hr. agoSell1¢31
20 hr. agoSell99¢429
20 hr. agoSell1¢33
20 hr. agoSell1¢396
20 hr. agoBuy99¢429
20 hr. agoBuy1¢429
20 hr. agoSell99¢294
20 hr. agoSell1¢294
20 hr. agoBuy99¢294
20 hr. agoBuy1¢294
20 hr. agoSell99¢366
20 hr. agoSell1¢366
20 hr. agoBuy99¢366
20 hr. agoBuy1¢366
21 hr. agoSell99¢279
21 hr. agoSell1¢279
21 hr. agoBuy99¢279
21 hr. agoBuy1¢279
21 hr. agoBuy1¢2,857
21 hr. agoSell1¢2,857
21 hr. agoSell99¢270
21 hr. agoSell1¢270
21 hr. agoBuy99¢270
21 hr. agoBuy1¢270
21 hr. agoSell99¢340
21 hr. agoSell1¢340
21 hr. agoBuy99¢340
21 hr. agoBuy1¢340
21 hr. agoSell99¢401
21 hr. agoSell1¢401
21 hr. agoBuy99¢401
21 hr. agoBuy1¢401
21 hr. agoSell99¢256
21 hr. agoSell1¢256
22 hr. agoBuy99¢256
22 hr. agoBuy1¢256
22 hr. agoSell99¢341
22 hr. agoSell1¢341
22 hr. agoBuy99¢341
22 hr. agoBuy1¢341
22 hr. agoSell99¢429
22 hr. agoSell1¢429
22 hr. agoBuy99¢429
22 hr. agoBuy1¢429
22 hr. agoSell99¢320
22 hr. agoSell1¢320
22 hr. agoBuy99¢320
22 hr. agoBuy1¢320
22 hr. agoSell99¢492

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.