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Updated 11 min. ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Economy
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20 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 20¢No 81¢

Fed Decision in December?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$908.1K

24h vol.

$35.8K

1w vol.

$240.9K

1m vol.

$695.2K

Liquidity

$224K

Bid / Ask

19¢ / 20¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Jul 30, 2026

End date

Dec 9, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
19¢$2,758
18¢$9,773
17¢$64,738
16¢$76,281
15¢$4,675
14¢$1,721
13¢$1,220
12¢$520
11¢$20
10¢$1,270
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$5,065
21¢$27,734
22¢$33,622
23¢$18,323
24¢$36,049
25¢$5,200
26¢$115
27¢$5,810
28¢$6,009
29¢$5,009

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
12 min. agoSell19¢5
12 min. agoBuy19¢5
2 hr. agoBuy20¢10
2 hr. agoSell20¢10
3 hr. agoBuy20¢35
3 hr. agoSell20¢35
3 hr. agoBuy20¢33
3 hr. agoSell20¢33
4 hr. agoBuy20¢5
4 hr. agoSell20¢5
4 hr. agoBuy20¢2,500
4 hr. agoSell20¢2,500
4 hr. agoBuy20¢5,000
4 hr. agoSell20¢5,000
5 hr. agoBuy20¢50
5 hr. agoSell20¢50
6 hr. agoSell80¢5
6 hr. agoSell20¢5
7 hr. agoBuy20¢10
7 hr. agoSell20¢10
9 hr. agoBuy20¢6
9 hr. agoSell20¢6
9 hr. agoBuy20¢18
9 hr. agoBuy80¢18
9 hr. agoBuy20¢20
9 hr. agoBuy80¢20
9 hr. agoSell20¢19,260
9 hr. agoBuy20¢100
9 hr. agoBuy20¢10
9 hr. agoBuy20¢500
9 hr. agoBuy20¢1,791
9 hr. agoBuy20¢4,822
9 hr. agoBuy20¢10
9 hr. agoBuy20¢5,555
9 hr. agoBuy20¢3,333
9 hr. agoSell80¢800
9 hr. agoBuy20¢300
9 hr. agoBuy20¢1,300
9 hr. agoBuy20¢600
9 hr. agoBuy20¢139
9 hr. agoBuy80¢100
9 hr. agoBuy20¢100
9 hr. agoSell21¢7,918
9 hr. agoBuy21¢360
9 hr. agoBuy21¢1,583
9 hr. agoBuy21¢100
9 hr. agoBuy21¢50
9 hr. agoBuy21¢100
9 hr. agoSell79¢800
9 hr. agoBuy21¢4,925

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