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Updated 1 mo. ago

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?

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Watch this market

2 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −2.5%24h▲ +0.6%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Market brief

  • Down 2.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 17% on Sep 13, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 43 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $879 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (471 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 1, 2026).

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SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

2 outcomes

Total volume

$15K

24h vol.

$18.152

1w vol.

$340.079

1m vol.

$8.3K

Liquidity

$12.8K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 3¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jul 30, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 4 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 471 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$151
5¢$40
4¢$323
3¢$489
2¢$140
1¢$1,694
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$213
14¢$84
39¢$52
40¢$100
48¢$5
49¢$50
50¢$100
59¢$60
60¢$100
61¢$30

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell6¢50
1 mo. agoBuy6¢50
1 mo. agoSell7¢28
1 mo. agoBuy7¢15
1 mo. agoBuy8¢13
1 mo. agoSell8¢366
1 mo. agoBuy7¢265
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoBuy9¢17
1 mo. agoBuy12¢34
1 mo. agoBuy86¢216
1 mo. agoBuy14¢216
1 mo. agoBuy86¢955
1 mo. agoBuy14¢955
1 mo. agoBuy86¢29
1 mo. agoBuy14¢29
1 mo. agoBuy85¢1,035
1 mo. agoBuy15¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy16¢35
1 mo. agoBuy18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy82¢40
2 mo. agoSell10¢5
2 mo. agoBuy10¢5
2 mo. agoBuy89¢210
2 mo. agoBuy11¢200
2 mo. agoBuy12¢10
2 mo. agoBuy85¢6
2 mo. agoBuy15¢6
2 mo. agoBuy15¢100
2 mo. agoBuy85¢100
2 mo. agoBuy87¢400
2 mo. agoBuy12¢200
2 mo. agoBuy13¢100
2 mo. agoBuy14¢100
2 mo. agoBuy86¢200
2 mo. agoBuy14¢200
2 mo. agoBuy82¢6
2 mo. agoBuy18¢6
2 mo. agoBuy19¢28
2 mo. agoSell19¢28
2 mo. agoBuy14¢212
2 mo. agoBuy85¢100
2 mo. agoSell14¢52
2 mo. agoSell14¢50
2 mo. agoBuy87¢10
2 mo. agoBuy90¢90
2 mo. agoBuy10¢50
2 mo. agoBuy11¢40
2 mo. agoBuy92¢10
2 mo. agoBuy8¢10

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