← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 35 min. ago

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
30 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 2.5 pp in the last 24 hours.
- Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $3.26K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
2 outcomes- December 3130 %
- October 312 %
Total volume
$165.8K
24h vol.
$77.1K
1w vol.
$78.1K
1m vol.
$143.2K
Liquidity
$31.6K
Bid / Ask
29¢ / 30¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
31¢
Start date
Jan 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 164 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 23.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 7 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 7 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 6 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 13 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 63 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 9,695 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 2,200 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 6,900 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 10,500 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 9,100 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 9,100 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 3,000 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 7,500 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 9,800 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 9,200 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 34 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 30¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 34¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 30¢ | 166 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 29¢ | 238 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 24 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 29¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 29¢ | 21 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 28¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 29¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 28¢ | 0 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 29¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 29¢ | 138 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 29¢ | 20 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 10 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 10 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 46 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 31 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 3 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?44 %▲ +15.0%
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?94 %▲ +62.0%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?4 %▼ −2.7%
- 2026 Balance of Power: Other0 %▲ +0.0%
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?23 %▲ +11.9%
- France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?7 %▼ −3.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.