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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?
1 %
chance
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$5.3K
24h vol.
$244.48
1w vol.
$1.1K
1m vol.
$2.4K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 74 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 79 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 58 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 140 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 140 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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