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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
4 %
chance
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomes- $1.50–$1.75T45 %
- $1.75–$2.00T33 %
- $1.25–$1.50T7 %
- $2.00–$2.25T6 %
- No IPO by December 31, 20274 %
- $2.25–$2.50T2 %
- <$1.25T1 %
- $2.50T+1 %
Total volume
$5.4K
24h vol.
$83.22
1w vol.
$335.75
1m vol.
$2K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 53 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 79 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 480 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 79 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 51 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 309 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 140 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 140 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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