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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?

Tech
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.7%1h▼ −9.6%24h▼ −31.6%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$39K

24h vol.

$857.162

1w vol.

$3.7K

1m vol.

$25.2K

Liquidity

$3.3K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 8¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
37¢$616
36¢$22
36¢$491
36¢$150
36¢$369
36¢$50
36¢$300
35¢$50
35¢$71
30¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$461
38¢$22
38¢$500
38¢$150
39¢$370
39¢$50
39¢$300
39¢$244
39¢$50
40¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy38¢13
1 wk. agoBuy62¢13
1 wk. agoSell37¢28
1 wk. agoSell63¢28
1 wk. agoSell37¢28
1 wk. agoBuy37¢28
1 wk. agoSell39¢52
1 wk. agoSell61¢52
1 wk. agoBuy39¢3
1 wk. agoBuy61¢3
1 wk. agoBuy62¢50
1 wk. agoSell62¢50
1 wk. agoBuy62¢23
1 wk. agoSell62¢23
1 wk. agoBuy63¢80
1 wk. agoBuy37¢80
1 wk. agoBuy34¢1,438
1 wk. agoSell35¢294
1 wk. agoBuy66¢50
1 wk. agoBuy66¢777
1 wk. agoBuy67¢52
1 wk. agoBuy67¢50
1 wk. agoSell33¢100
1 wk. agoBuy67¢5
1 wk. agoBuy67¢50
1 wk. agoBuy68¢59
1 wk. agoSell35¢27
1 wk. agoSell65¢27
1 wk. agoBuy32¢312
1 wk. agoBuy67¢49
1 wk. agoSell33¢145
1 wk. agoBuy68¢100
1 wk. agoSell32¢18
1 wk. agoBuy34¢100
1 wk. agoBuy65¢49
1 wk. agoBuy66¢50
1 wk. agoBuy67¢1
1 wk. agoSell65¢3
1 wk. agoSell35¢3
1 wk. agoSell32¢112
1 wk. agoBuy32¢30
1 wk. agoBuy32¢82
1 wk. agoSell37¢100
1 wk. agoBuy37¢100
1 wk. agoBuy63¢200
1 wk. agoBuy37¢100
1 wk. agoBuy37¢100
1 wk. agoBuy62¢93
1 wk. agoBuy38¢93
1 wk. agoSell39¢1,335

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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