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Updated 4 wk. ago

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

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98 %

chance

▼ −0.6%1h▲ +2.5%24h▲ +3.0%1W
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$14.6K

24h vol.

$940.025

1w vol.

$3.7K

1m vol.

$12K

Liquidity

$4.7K

Bid / Ask

98¢ / 99¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

98¢

Start date

Sep 3, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
89¢$73
88¢$219
87¢$40
85¢$200
81¢$10
78¢$200
75¢$1,000
71¢$1,500
63¢$500
58¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
93¢$92
94¢$1,834
95¢$221
98¢$272
99¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy12¢21
1 mo. agoBuy88¢21
1 mo. agoBuy13¢23
1 mo. agoBuy87¢15
1 mo. agoSell13¢8
1 mo. agoSell87¢7
1 mo. agoSell13¢7
1 mo. agoBuy13¢12
1 mo. agoBuy87¢7
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy90¢6
1 mo. agoBuy10¢6
1 mo. agoBuy88¢8
1 mo. agoBuy12¢8
1 mo. agoBuy88¢430
1 mo. agoBuy12¢19
1 mo. agoBuy12¢400
1 mo. agoSell87¢11
1 mo. agoBuy19¢11
1 mo. agoBuy81¢11
1 mo. agoBuy18¢11
1 mo. agoBuy82¢11
1 mo. agoBuy81¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy91¢5
1 mo. agoSell91¢5
1 mo. agoBuy80¢674
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢238
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢200
1 mo. agoBuy21¢100
1 mo. agoBuy21¢59
1 mo. agoSell79¢12
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢9
1 mo. agoBuy77¢9
1 mo. agoBuy81¢62
1 mo. agoBuy19¢62
1 mo. agoBuy75¢63
1 mo. agoBuy23¢19
1 mo. agoSell75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy26¢24
1 mo. agoBuy21¢5
1 mo. agoBuy79¢5
1 mo. agoBuy80¢2
1 mo. agoSell80¢2
1 mo. agoBuy20¢108
1 mo. agoBuy80¢108

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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