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Updated 39 min. ago

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?

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53 %

chance

▼ −6.0%1h▼ −6.0%24h
Yes 53¢No 48¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$13.2K

24h vol.

$6K

1w vol.

$13.2K

1m vol.

$13.2K

Liquidity

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

51¢ / 54¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

54¢

Start date

Oct 15, 2026

End date

Oct 23, 2026

ends in 4 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 10,210 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
50¢$115
49¢$243
47¢$150
44¢$100
34¢$100
33¢$175
26¢$59
25¢$264
24¢$100
23¢$180
Asks (sell)Size
53¢$10
54¢$925
55¢$378
57¢$159
60¢$278
61¢$779
65¢$200
72¢$25
78¢$40
79¢$33

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
50 min. agoBuy53¢75
50 min. agoBuy47¢45
50 min. agoBuy47¢30
50 min. agoBuy54¢93
50 min. agoBuy46¢38
50 min. agoSell54¢45
50 min. agoBuy46¢10
56 min. agoBuy54¢5
56 min. agoBuy46¢0
56 min. agoBuy46¢5
57 min. agoBuy57¢1,010
57 min. agoBuy43¢1,000
57 min. agoBuy44¢10
59 min. agoBuy60¢320
59 min. agoBuy40¢175
59 min. agoBuy41¢75
59 min. agoSell59¢50
59 min. agoBuy41¢20
1 hr. agoBuy40¢12
1 hr. agoBuy60¢12
1 hr. agoBuy61¢95
1 hr. agoBuy39¢95
2 hr. agoBuy40¢3
2 hr. agoBuy60¢3
2 hr. agoBuy40¢85
2 hr. agoBuy60¢85
2 hr. agoBuy40¢50
2 hr. agoBuy60¢13
2 hr. agoSell40¢37
2 hr. agoBuy40¢98
2 hr. agoSell40¢98
2 hr. agoBuy40¢25
2 hr. agoSell40¢15
2 hr. agoBuy61¢10
2 hr. agoBuy39¢20
2 hr. agoBuy61¢20
4 hr. agoBuy33¢15
4 hr. agoSell33¢15
5 hr. agoBuy33¢7
5 hr. agoSell33¢7
5 hr. agoBuy32¢25
5 hr. agoSell32¢25
5 hr. agoBuy32¢20
5 hr. agoSell32¢20
5 hr. agoBuy32¢5
5 hr. agoSell32¢5
5 hr. agoBuy68¢221
5 hr. agoBuy32¢200
5 hr. agoBuy33¢21
5 hr. agoBuy60¢300

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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