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Updated 23 min. ago

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

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59 %

chance

▼ −3.5%1h▼ −10.5%24h▼ −6.5%1W
Yes 59¢No 41¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$87.1K

24h vol.

$11.7K

1w vol.

$49.4K

1m vol.

$87.1K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Bid / Ask

58¢ / 60¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

59¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Oct 25, 2026

ends in 6 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
58¢$558
57¢$110
56¢$7
55¢$516
53¢$123
52¢$47
51¢$92
50¢$405
49¢$400
48¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
60¢$110
61¢$207
63¢$5
68¢$35
69¢$15
71¢$10
72¢$45
73¢$33
75¢$33
76¢$214

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
44 min. agoBuy59¢7
44 min. agoBuy41¢7
44 min. agoBuy59¢13
44 min. agoBuy41¢13
44 min. agoBuy59¢27
44 min. agoBuy41¢27
57 min. agoBuy41¢22
57 min. agoSell42¢7
57 min. agoBuy59¢10
57 min. agoBuy60¢5
57 min. agoBuy40¢1,149
57 min. agoSell40¢48
57 min. agoBuy60¢500
57 min. agoBuy60¢400
57 min. agoBuy61¢65
57 min. agoSell39¢100
57 min. agoBuy61¢10
57 min. agoBuy61¢17
57 min. agoBuy62¢10
57 min. agoBuy64¢110
57 min. agoBuy36¢100
57 min. agoSell64¢10
1 hr. agoBuy39¢3
1 hr. agoBuy61¢3
1 hr. agoBuy61¢50
1 hr. agoBuy39¢40
1 hr. agoBuy39¢10
1 hr. agoBuy62¢15
1 hr. agoSell62¢9
1 hr. agoBuy39¢6
1 hr. agoBuy61¢20
1 hr. agoBuy39¢2
1 hr. agoBuy39¢5
1 hr. agoBuy39¢13
2 hr. agoBuy61¢20
2 hr. agoSell61¢10
2 hr. agoBuy39¢10
2 hr. agoBuy60¢3
2 hr. agoBuy40¢3
2 hr. agoBuy59¢85
2 hr. agoBuy41¢27
2 hr. agoSell59¢58
2 hr. agoSell58¢11
2 hr. agoSell42¢11
2 hr. agoSell59¢50
2 hr. agoBuy59¢50
2 hr. agoSell59¢1
2 hr. agoBuy59¢1
2 hr. agoSell61¢800
2 hr. agoBuy60¢11

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