Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
18 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 6.5 pp over the past week (+3.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 58% on Sep 18, 2026.
- Last 36 trades: 23 buys, 13 sells; the largest was $59 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (4,522 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Dec 31, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
16 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$4.9K
24h vol.
$1.4K
Liquidity
$3.3K
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$1.5K
1m vol.
$3.3K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 21¢
Spread 6¢
Last trade
24¢
Start date
Sep 9, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (36)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 85 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 212 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 71 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
- Event:
- Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
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