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Updated 9 min. ago

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
32 %
chance
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$30.5K
24h vol.
$9.3K
1w vol.
$30.5K
1m vol.
$30.5K
Liquidity
$21.7K
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 33¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
33¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 1 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 1 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 6 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 6 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 3 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 10 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 75 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 75 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 9 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 9 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 59 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 1 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 10 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 48 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 16 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 16 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 598 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 50 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 17 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 91 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 414 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 11 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 11 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 10 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 31 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 28 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 250 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 150 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 800 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 800 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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