Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 10 outcomes · $4.4M traded · updated 1 hr. ago
Resolves Oct 25, 2026
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia leads at 70 % · biggest 24h move: Student List – Students Win +2.0 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia70 %▼ −1.5%$1.8M
- 2Student List – Students Win30 %▲ +2.0%$2.5M
- 3Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!0 %—$52.5K
- 4Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)0 %—$2.8K
- 5Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor0 %—$1.7K
- 6Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification0 %—$1.6K
- 7Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić0 %—$1.8K
- 8Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović0 %—$2.4K
- 9European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš0 %—$2.6K
- 10SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak0 %—$2.9K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner?
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia is the current favourite at 70 %, ahead of 9 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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