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Updated 30 min. ago

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
31 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 8.0 pp over the past week (+2.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 20% on Oct 24, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 24 buys, 26 sells; the largest was $5.68K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 26% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (115 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 25, 2026).
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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
10 outcomes- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69 %
- Student List – Students Win31 %
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović0 %
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)0 %
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš0 %
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić0 %
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor0 %
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak0 %
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!0 %
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification0 %
Total volume
$2.5M
24h vol.
$159.1K
1w vol.
$461.5K
1m vol.
$808.8K
Liquidity
$237.3K
Bid / Ask
30¢ / 31¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
31¢
Start date
Sep 21, 2026
End date
Oct 25, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 115 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 26.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 45 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 37 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 1,997 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 3 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 323 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 346 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 691 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 32 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 630 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 1,042 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 171 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 723 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 774 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 258 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 709 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 233 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 504 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 57 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 306 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 141 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 6,494 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 1,034 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 17 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 150 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 29 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 176 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 24 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 41 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 291 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 707 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 714 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 786 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 714 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 786 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 19,351 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 714 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 786 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 1,613 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 135 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 44 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 105 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 70 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 141 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 70 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 141 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 141 |
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