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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
92 %
chance
Total volume
$4.3K
24h vol.
$814.5
1w vol.
$4K
1m vol.
$4.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Bid / Ask
91¢ / 93¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
91¢
Start date
Sep 29, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 40¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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