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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?
26 %
chance
Total volume
$9.2K
24h vol.
$1.5K
1w vol.
$8.2K
1m vol.
$9.2K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
25¢ / 26¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
25¢
Start date
Sep 29, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 43¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades
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