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Updated 1 day ago

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

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86 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +19.5%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 86¢No 15¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$12.8K

24h vol.

$3.3K

1w vol.

$11.8K

1m vol.

$12.8K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

84¢ / 87¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

83¢

Start date

Sep 29, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
65¢$250
64¢$515
63¢$113
62¢$211
61¢$328
60¢$425
50¢$20
49¢$210
48¢$20
35¢$364
Asks (sell)Size
66¢$218
67¢$100
77¢$70
78¢$438
80¢$115
83¢$10
84¢$239
85¢$143
90¢$188
91¢$116

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell65¢2
2 days agoBuy65¢2
2 days agoSell65¢60
2 days agoBuy65¢60
2 days agoBuy68¢2
2 days agoSell68¢2
2 days agoSell65¢287
2 days agoBuy64¢15
2 days agoBuy65¢50
2 days agoSell35¢73
2 days agoBuy65¢99
2 days agoBuy65¢50
2 days agoSell70¢10
2 days agoBuy69¢5
2 days agoBuy70¢5
2 days agoBuy72¢26
2 days agoBuy28¢26
2 days agoSell65¢1
2 days agoBuy65¢1
2 days agoSell65¢5
2 days agoBuy65¢5
2 days agoBuy67¢22
2 days agoSell67¢22
2 days agoBuy34¢5
2 days agoBuy66¢5
2 days agoSell69¢157
2 days agoSell33¢28
2 days agoBuy69¢50
2 days agoBuy70¢50
2 days agoBuy71¢29
2 days agoBuy29¢5
2 days agoBuy71¢5
2 days agoSell69¢2
2 days agoSell31¢2
2 days agoSell27¢50
2 days agoBuy27¢50
2 days agoBuy76¢19
2 days agoBuy24¢9
2 days agoBuy24¢10
2 days agoBuy73¢113
2 days agoBuy25¢19
2 days agoBuy27¢50
2 days agoBuy27¢30
2 days agoSell71¢14
2 days agoSell67¢40
2 days agoBuy67¢40
2 days agoBuy67¢600
2 days agoBuy32¢91
2 days agoBuy32¢73
2 days agoBuy33¢108

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