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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?

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64 %

chance

▲ +3.0%1h▲ +10.5%24h▲ +9.5%1W
Yes 64¢No 37¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$6.7K

24h vol.

$1.5K

1w vol.

$4.7K

1m vol.

$6.7K

Liquidity

$2.8K

Bid / Ask

63¢ / 64¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

66¢

Start date

Sep 29, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 43¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$84
10¢$50
4¢$17
3¢$208
2¢$6
1¢$431
Asks (sell)Size
54¢$20
95¢$11
96¢$25
97¢$144
98¢$61
99¢$192

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