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Updated 2 wk. ago
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
3 %
chance
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
6 outcomesTotal volume
$24.5K
24h vol.
$418.167
1w vol.
$12.9K
1m vol.
$24.5K
Liquidity
$49.4K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (40)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 15 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 15 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 9 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 11 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 121 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 60 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 61 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 52 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 45 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 41 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 62 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 22 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.