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Updated 2 wk. ago
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
32 %
chance
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
6 outcomesTotal volume
$3.7K
24h vol.
$5
1w vol.
$2.2K
1m vol.
$3.7K
Liquidity
$28.3K
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 32¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
31¢
Start date
Oct 5, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 14¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (7)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
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