← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 28 min. ago
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 7 buys, 43 sells; the largest was $9K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 10% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (229 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 wk. (Nov 4, 2026).
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Which party will win the House in 2026?
2 outcomes- Democratic Party92 %
- Republican Party9 %
Total volume
$8.7M
24h vol.
$249.6K
1w vol.
$1.1M
1m vol.
$3.6M
Liquidity
$3.2M
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 229 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 302 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 300 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 590 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 9,783 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6,919 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 18,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 150 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 7 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 31 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 208 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 140 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 137 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 143 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 130 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 156 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 104 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 208 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 119 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 178 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 76 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 91 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 78 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 70 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 78 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 156 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 104 |
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