Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$501.7K

24h vol.

$1K

1w vol.

$12K

1m vol.

$60.2K

Liquidity

$446.7K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$312,136
0¢$103,392
0¢$175
0¢$10,619
1¢$175
1¢$175
1¢$205
1¢$5,530
1¢$3,215
1¢$715

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy0¢22,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢22,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢20,160
3 wk. agoSell0¢20,160
4 wk. agoBuy0¢5,000
4 wk. agoSell0¢5,000
1 mo. agoSell100¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoSell100¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,010
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,010
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell100¢14
1 mo. agoSell0¢14
1 mo. agoSell0¢106,005
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢500
1 mo. agoBuy0¢500
1 mo. agoSell0¢500
1 mo. agoBuy0¢500
1 mo. agoSell0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoSell0¢30
1 mo. agoBuy0¢30
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢4,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,900
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,900
1 mo. agoSell0¢450
1 mo. agoBuy0¢450
1 mo. agoSell0¢235
1 mo. agoBuy0¢235
1 mo. agoSell0¢500
1 mo. agoBuy0¢500
1 mo. agoSell0¢1,000

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.