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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?

Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?

PoliticsSports

5 %

chance

▼ −5.0%24h▼ −8.0%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Market brief

  • Down 8.0 pp over the past week (−5.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 24% on Oct 15, 2026.
  • Last 25 trades: 23 buys, 2 sells; the largest was $30 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 8% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (409 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 mo. (Mar 19, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

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50%
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✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$737.42

24h vol.

$250.12

Liquidity

$1.6K

End date

Mar 19, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$323.37

1m vol.

$737.42

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 7¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 15, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$2,374
2¢$155
1¢$229
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$40
7¢$40
23¢$40
24¢$20
36¢$45
37¢$20
44¢$50
45¢$120
66¢$400
67¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (25)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy6¢21
1 mo. agoSell6¢1
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢26
1 mo. agoBuy4¢26
1 mo. agoBuy95¢8
1 mo. agoBuy5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy95¢11
1 mo. agoBuy5¢11
1 mo. agoBuy96¢20
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy96¢18
1 mo. agoBuy4¢18
1 mo. agoBuy96¢31
1 mo. agoBuy4¢31
1 mo. agoBuy96¢28
1 mo. agoBuy4¢28
1 mo. agoBuy96¢24
1 mo. agoBuy4¢24
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢2
1 mo. agoBuy5¢2
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
Rules & resolution

The FIFA presidential election for the 2027–2031 term is scheduled to be held on March 18, 2027, at the 77th FIFA Congress. This market will resolve to the individual who is elected President of FIFA at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected President of FIFA by the FIFA Congress at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker President of FIFA will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President of FIFA is elected by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Next President of FIFA
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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