Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Ramon Vega be the next President of FIFA?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 27 trades: 20 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $47 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (614 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 4 mo. (Mar 19, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Next President of FIFA
9 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$251.97
24h vol.
$168.5
Liquidity
$995.454
End date
Mar 19, 2027
ends in 4 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$251.97
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (27)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 47 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 47 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 19 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 82 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 24 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 31 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
Rules & resolution
The FIFA presidential election for the 2027–2031 term is scheduled to be held on March 18, 2027, at the 77th FIFA Congress. This market will resolve to the individual who is elected President of FIFA at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected President of FIFA by the FIFA Congress at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker President of FIFA will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President of FIFA is elected by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Next President of FIFA
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
Related markets
Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?87 %▼ −2.0%
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15 %▼ −0.8%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?93 %▲ +1.0%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?7 %▲ +0.0%
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?7 %▲ +2.0%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?8 %▼ −1.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.