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Updated 5 hr. ago

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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73 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h
Yes 73¢No 27¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $1.41K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 67% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,608 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

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Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

30 outcomes
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Total volume

$94K

24h vol.

$7.8K

1w vol.

$94K

1m vol.

$94K

Liquidity

$8.4K

Bid / Ask

72¢ / 74¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

74¢

Start date

Oct 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,608 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
72¢$588
71¢$601
70¢$50
68¢$150
67¢$43
63¢$965
62¢$27
61¢$100
60¢$100
59¢$800
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$366
75¢$885
76¢$1,518
77¢$730
78¢$1,632
79¢$403
80¢$445
81¢$1,518
82¢$2,246
83¢$200

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 hr. agoBuy74¢8
7 hr. agoBuy74¢11
7 hr. agoSell72¢13
8 hr. agoBuy74¢27
8 hr. agoBuy74¢11
8 hr. agoSell72¢30
9 hr. agoBuy73¢178
9 hr. agoBuy74¢27
9 hr. agoBuy74¢11
9 hr. agoBuy72¢55
10 hr. agoSell71¢3
11 hr. agoSell71¢30
11 hr. agoSell71¢20
11 hr. agoSell71¢150
11 hr. agoSell71¢120
11 hr. agoSell71¢30
12 hr. agoSell71¢30
12 hr. agoSell71¢45
12 hr. agoSell72¢179
12 hr. agoSell72¢5
13 hr. agoSell73¢10
13 hr. agoSell73¢3
13 hr. agoSell73¢20
13 hr. agoSell73¢12
13 hr. agoSell74¢5
14 hr. agoSell74¢0
14 hr. agoSell74¢7
14 hr. agoSell74¢10
14 hr. agoSell74¢5
14 hr. agoBuy76¢50
14 hr. agoBuy75¢100
14 hr. agoBuy73¢1,930
16 hr. agoSell69¢11
16 hr. agoSell69¢20
17 hr. agoSell70¢171
18 hr. agoSell69¢11
18 hr. agoSell69¢34
18 hr. agoSell70¢32
18 hr. agoBuy72¢120
19 hr. agoSell69¢500
19 hr. agoSell70¢140
20 hr. agoBuy71¢1,109
20 hr. agoBuy72¢51
20 hr. agoBuy72¢50
24 hr. agoSell69¢168
24 hr. agoSell70¢30
24 hr. agoSell70¢100
1 day agoSell70¢30
1 day agoSell70¢8
1 day agoSell70¢52

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