← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 4 days ago
Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (416 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 outcomes- Lamine Yamal73 %
- Kylian Mbappé17 %
- Lionel Messi5 %
- Rodri4 %
- Harry Kane4 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2 %
- Michael Olise1 %
- Ousmane Dembélé1 %
- Fabian Ruiz0 %
- Sadio Mané0 %
- Erling Haaland0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Pau Cubarsi0 %
- Achraf Hakimi0 %
- Dayot Upamecano0 %
- William Saliba0 %
- Nuno Mendes0 %
- Marc Cucurella0 %
- Vitinha0 %
- Ferran Torres0 %
- Willian Pacho0 %
- Gabriel Magalhães0 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Marquinhos0 %
- Vinícius Júnior0 %
- Luis Diaz0 %
- João Neves0 %
- Julián Quiñones0 %
- Declan Rice0 %
Total volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 416 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?77 %▲ +1.6%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?5 %▲ +0.9%
- Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0 %▼ −0.2%
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?74 %▲ +3.0%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?2 %▼ −29.2%
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?1 %▼ −0.1%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.