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Updated 4 days ago
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (293 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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✦ AI assessment
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Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 outcomes- Lamine Yamal73 %
- Kylian Mbappé17 %
- Lionel Messi5 %
- Rodri4 %
- Harry Kane4 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2 %
- Michael Olise1 %
- Ousmane Dembélé1 %
- Fabian Ruiz0 %
- Sadio Mané0 %
- Erling Haaland0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Pau Cubarsi0 %
- Achraf Hakimi0 %
- Dayot Upamecano0 %
- William Saliba0 %
- Nuno Mendes0 %
- Marc Cucurella0 %
- Vitinha0 %
- Ferran Torres0 %
- Willian Pacho0 %
- Gabriel Magalhães0 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Marquinhos0 %
- Vinícius Júnior0 %
- Luis Diaz0 %
- João Neves0 %
- Julián Quiñones0 %
- Declan Rice0 %
Total volume
$7.8K
24h vol.
$2K
1w vol.
$7.8K
1m vol.
$7.8K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 293 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (4)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1,000 |
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