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Updated 4 days ago
Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (416 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 outcomes- Lamine Yamal73 %
- Kylian Mbappé17 %
- Lionel Messi5 %
- Rodri4 %
- Harry Kane4 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2 %
- Michael Olise1 %
- Ousmane Dembélé1 %
- Fabian Ruiz0 %
- Sadio Mané0 %
- Erling Haaland0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Pau Cubarsi0 %
- Achraf Hakimi0 %
- Dayot Upamecano0 %
- William Saliba0 %
- Nuno Mendes0 %
- Marc Cucurella0 %
- Vitinha0 %
- Ferran Torres0 %
- Willian Pacho0 %
- Gabriel Magalhães0 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Marquinhos0 %
- Vinícius Júnior0 %
- Luis Diaz0 %
- João Neves0 %
- Julián Quiñones0 %
- Declan Rice0 %
Total volume
$50
Liquidity
$4.9K
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 416 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Recent trades
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