Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Market brief

• Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $8.79K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 88% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before the end resolved YES (584 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 584 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 87.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.

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