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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Tech
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1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $257 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (139 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$163.9K

24h vol.

$245.04

1w vol.

$464.993

1m vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$31.8K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Sep 23, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 139 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$57
1¢$125
1¢$43
1¢$54
1¢$2,885
0¢$1,416
0¢$57,072
0¢$11,205
0¢$18,461
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$787
2¢$287
2¢$100
2¢$85
2¢$37
2¢$14
3¢$5
3¢$1,498
3¢$63
4¢$2,352

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy1¢300
2 mo. agoSell1¢33
2 mo. agoSell1¢151
2 mo. agoBuy99¢57
2 mo. agoSell1¢59
2 mo. agoSell1¢36
2 mo. agoBuy1¢36
2 mo. agoSell1¢15
2 mo. agoBuy1¢15
2 mo. agoBuy99¢85
2 mo. agoBuy1¢85
2 mo. agoBuy99¢25
2 mo. agoSell99¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢15
2 mo. agoBuy99¢174
2 mo. agoBuy1¢59
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoSell99¢15
2 mo. agoBuy2¢12
2 mo. agoSell2¢12
2 mo. agoBuy2¢50
2 mo. agoSell2¢50
2 mo. agoBuy2¢99
2 mo. agoSell2¢4
2 mo. agoSell2¢48
2 mo. agoSell2¢46
2 mo. agoBuy2¢25
2 mo. agoSell2¢25
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy1¢48
2 mo. agoBuy1¢52
2 mo. agoSell1¢54
2 mo. agoBuy1¢54
2 mo. agoBuy99¢259
2 mo. agoBuy1¢44
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoSell99¢101
2 mo. agoBuy1¢14
2 mo. agoBuy99¢85
2 mo. agoBuy1¢85
2 mo. agoBuy99¢100
2 mo. agoBuy1¢86
2 mo. agoBuy1¢14
2 mo. agoBuy99¢101
2 mo. agoBuy1¢1
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy2¢59
2 mo. agoSell2¢59
2 mo. agoSell2¢1,125
2 mo. agoSell98¢25

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