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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m?

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m?

Culture

2 %

chance

▼ −0.7%24h▼ −4.4%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 4.3 pp over the past week, after touching 49% on Oct 31, 2026.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (526 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Dec 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$8.5K

24h vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$7.3K

End date

Dec 20, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$8.1K

1m vol.

$8.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Oct 30, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 31¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$21
3¢$28
2¢$150
1¢$285
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$146
42¢$30
43¢$86
45¢$85
46¢$50
47¢$50
57¢$100
58¢$25
61¢$45
67¢$500

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades

No trades were found for this market.

Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Event:
"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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