Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on November 30?
39 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 4.5 pp over the past week (+11.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 54% on Nov 3, 2026.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (11,356 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 3 wk. (Dec 1, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30?
7 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$4.8K
24h vol.
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.1K
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 3 wk.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$4.8K
Bid / Ask
38¢ / 39¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
37¢
Start date
Nov 2, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 37¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0x3a9f9804b3d8b42b2415a74037347baa798762a821809b0b21cf01af873e7ac7&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on November 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
- Event:
- Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30?
- Resolution source:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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