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Updated 3 min. ago

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
13 %
chance
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$3.9M
24h vol.
$78.8K
1w vol.
$266.5K
1m vol.
$782K
Liquidity
$109.2K
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 13¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Nov 15, 2025
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1 |
| 12 min. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 60 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 60 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 77 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 77 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 400 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 400 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 43 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 43 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 106 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 106 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 447 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 447 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 34 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 34 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 17 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 17 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 191 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 191 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 2,700 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 178 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 504 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 1,717 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 101 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 200 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 833 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 283 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 551 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 11 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 11 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 408 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 408 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 111 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 111 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 3 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 3 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1,250 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1,038 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 6 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 6 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 200 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 3 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 3 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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