← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 17 min. ago

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
47 %
chance
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$3.3M
24h vol.
$100.9K
1w vol.
$261.3K
1m vol.
$711.2K
Liquidity
$138.8K
Bid / Ask
46¢ / 47¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
47¢
Start date
Nov 15, 2025
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,870 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 108 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 67 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 36 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 9 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 9 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 0 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 0 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 3 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 3 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 28 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 28 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 460 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 149 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 150 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 100 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 10 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 36 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 5 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 5 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 50 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 50 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 116 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 49 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 28 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 38 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 1,600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 508 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 892 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 80 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 80 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 508 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 508 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 1,036 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 794 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 101 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 41 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.