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Updated 17 min. ago

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Politics
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47 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −6.5%24h▲ +1.8%1W
Yes 47¢No 53¢

Total volume

$3.3M

24h vol.

$100.9K

1w vol.

$261.3K

1m vol.

$711.2K

Liquidity

$138.8K

Bid / Ask

46¢ / 47¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Nov 15, 2025

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,870 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
47¢$36
46¢$271
46¢$455
46¢$50
46¢$1,330
46¢$5
46¢$150
46¢$1,309
46¢$2,341
45¢$1,300
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$397
47¢$10
47¢$200
47¢$1,545
48¢$257
48¢$540
48¢$8
48¢$150
49¢$75
49¢$101

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
23 min. agoBuy47¢108
23 min. agoBuy53¢67
23 min. agoBuy53¢36
23 min. agoSell47¢5
25 min. agoSell47¢5
25 min. agoBuy47¢5
25 min. agoSell46¢9
25 min. agoBuy46¢9
25 min. agoSell53¢0
25 min. agoSell47¢0
25 min. agoSell46¢3
25 min. agoBuy46¢3
25 min. agoSell46¢28
25 min. agoBuy46¢28
25 min. agoSell47¢460
25 min. agoSell54¢149
25 min. agoBuy47¢150
25 min. agoBuy47¢100
25 min. agoBuy47¢5
25 min. agoSell53¢10
25 min. agoBuy47¢5
25 min. agoBuy47¢5
25 min. agoSell53¢36
25 min. agoSell46¢5
25 min. agoBuy46¢5
31 min. agoBuy47¢50
31 min. agoSell47¢50
56 min. agoBuy48¢116
56 min. agoSell48¢49
56 min. agoBuy53¢28
56 min. agoSell48¢38
2 hr. agoBuy48¢2
2 hr. agoSell48¢2
2 hr. agoSell48¢1,600
2 hr. agoBuy48¢508
2 hr. agoBuy48¢892
2 hr. agoBuy48¢80
2 hr. agoSell52¢80
2 hr. agoBuy48¢40
2 hr. agoBuy53¢508
2 hr. agoBuy47¢508
2 hr. agoBuy52¢29
2 hr. agoSell52¢29
2 hr. agoBuy48¢37
2 hr. agoSell48¢37
2 hr. agoBuy48¢1,036
2 hr. agoSell48¢794
2 hr. agoSell48¢100
2 hr. agoSell48¢101
2 hr. agoBuy52¢41

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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